Simulation of logistic dinamics in conditions of real economy

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Abstract

Methods of stimulating actual statistical data with the help of logistic models are proposed. They are based on autoregressions of dynamic sets of economic dynamics indices with regard to exogenous influences which occur in practice. The methods use small samples and do not assume a priori knowledge about the processes being analysed.

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Samara State Aerospace University

Author for correspondence.
Email: sadohina@ssau.ru
Russian Federation

References

  1. Эконометрика/ Под ред. И. И. Елисеевой. - М.: Финансы и статистика, 2002.
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  4. Семёнычев В. К. Идентификация экономической динамики на основе моделей авторегрессии. – Самара: АНО «Изд-во СНЦ РАН», 2004.
  5. Плотинский Ю. М. Теоретические и эмпирические модели социальных процессов. – М.: «Логос», 1998.

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