On the acceptable level of risks in the implementation of strategic planning programs for technological innovations in the development of space systems


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Abstract

It is shown that owing to the available incompleteness or inaccuracy of information on the conditions of implementing programs of strategic planning of technological innovations, there is a risk. Management of implementation of the programs is, in fact, management of its risks. A method of determining the admissible level of risk of implementing the programs of space technology development that represents the guaranteed level of the project wastelessness is proposed and can be considered as the criterion of the necessity to take measures to decrease the risks of technological innovations, as well as the criterion of the expediency of continuing (terminating) implementation of the program or its separate components. Calculations of admissible risk level in relation to federal programs of the development of space equipment are given.

About the authors

B. M. Petrukhin

Central Research Institute for Machine Building

Author for correspondence.
Email: PetrukhinBM@tsniimash.ru

Candidate of Science (Engineering), Deputy Head of the Center for System Research of Space Activities

Russian Federation

Yu. V. Bychkov

Central Research Institute for Machine Building

Email: BychkovYV@tsniimash.ru

Candidate of Science (Engineering), Leading Researcher at the Center for System Research of Space Activities

Russian Federation

A. A. Letyagin

Central Research Institute for Machine Building

Email: Letyagin.AA@tsniimash.ru

Leading Engineer of the Center for System Research of Space Activities

Russian Federation

T. V. Fursaeva

Central Research Institute for Machine Building

Email: FursaevaTV@tsniimash.ru

Chief Specialist of the Center for System Research of Space Activities

Russian Federation

References

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