VESTNIK of Samara University. Aerospace and Mechanical EngineeringVESTNIK of Samara University. Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering2542-04532541-7533Samara National Research University19410.18287/2541-7533-2004-0-2 (6)-43-46UnknownMathematical and instrumental provision of economic security of business and industries11sadohina@ssau.ruSamara State Aerospace University1806200432434615052014Copyright © 2015, VESTNIK of the Samara State Aerospace University2015<p>The paper proposes mathematical and instrumental provision of economic security of social and economic systems by structural parametric identification and forecasting economic indicators on the basis of autoregression moving average models.</p>