Vestnik of Samara University. Economics and ManagementVestnik of Samara University. Economics and Management2542-04612782-3008Samara National Research University545410.18287/2542-0461-2014-0-4-177-183UnknownMODEL OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING, CONSIDERING CUMULATIVE DYNAMICS OF FACTORS OF PRODUCTIONDubrovinaN. A.morenov.sv@ssau.ruSaraevL. A.morenov.sv@ssau.ruthe Dept. of Mathematics and Business-Informatics, Samara State University, Samara, 443011, Russian Federation.01042014541771832712201727122017Copyright © 2017, Vestnik of Samara University. Economics and Management2017<p>In this paper a variant of mathematical model of economic development of mechanical engineering on the basis of dynamics of cumulative factors of production is suggested. Changes over time of these factors are described by differential equations of logistic curves that adequately reflect underlying macroeconomic aspects of the process of reproduction. Dynamics of industry output is given by multifactor production function with constant elasticity of substitution of resources. Evolutionary and innovative scenarios of economic development of mechanical engineering are viewed. Numerical analysis of resulting model showed good agreement with known statistics.</p>mechanical engineering, structure, factors of production, production function, production output, resourcesмашиностроение, структура, факторы производства, производственная функция, выпуск продукции, ресурсы[1. Saraev A.L., Saraev L.A. Continual theory of operating process and factor productivity of industrial enterprises // Vestnik Samarskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. 2012. № 7 (98). P. 196–203.][2. Saraev A.L., Saraev L.A. To the theory of structural modernization of industrial enterprises // Vestnik Samarskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. 2012. № 10 (101). P. 160–169.][3. Saraev A.L., Saraev L.A. To the estimate of profits and expenses of enterprises that modernize production structure // Vestnik Samarskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. 2013. № 1 (102). P. 186–196.][4. Mantulenko A.V., Saraev A.L., Saraev L.A. To the theory of optimal distribution of factors of production, operating and transaction expenses // Vestnik Samarskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta. 2013. № 7 (108). P. 177–126.][5. Nizhegorodtsev R.M. Models of logistic dynamics as an instrument of economic analysis and prognostication // Modelirovanie ekonomicheskoi dinamiki: risk, optimizatsiia, prognozirovanie. M., 1997. P. 34–51.][6. Cheremnykh Yu.N. Microeconomics. Advanced level: тextbook. M.: Infra-M, 2013. 844 p.][7. Gracheva M.V., Fadeeva L.N., Cheremnykh Yu. N. Modelling of economic processes: тextbook. M.: YUNITI-DANA, 2005. 351 p.]