ON ESTIMATE OF DYNAMICS OF PERFORMANCE INDICATORS OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF MECHANICAL ENGINEERING


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Abstract

In the article the mathematical model of dynamics of economic performance of machinery industry, time variation of which is described by differential equations of the diffusion of innovation, adequately reflecting the most important macro-economic aspects of the process of reproduction is suggested. We consider evolutionary and innovative scenario of economic development of machinery industry. Numerical analysis of the resulting model showed good agreement with known statistics.

About the authors

N. A. Dubrovina

the Dept. of General and Strategic Management, Samara State University, Samara, 443011, Russian Federation.

Author for correspondence.
Email: morenov.sv@ssau.ru

L. A. Saraev

Department of Mathematics and Business-Informatics, Samara State
University, 1, Acad. Pavlov Street, Samara, 443011, Russian Federation.

Email: morenov.sv@ssau.ru

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